The Soapbox

southdenverhoo

Joined: 10/11/2001 Posts: 13294
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They’d lose, but not in an unprecedented fashion. Redistricting over the


Over the last 3 Census cycles has reduced the number of contestable seats to practically nil. Worst case scenario might be a loss of 20-25 seats, not remarkable historically for a midterm.

I think control of the House is likely to shift by virtue of a 15-20 seat shift which will give the GOP around a 10-12 seat edge. Not an historical level trucking though.

I’m not sure the Senate changes much at all, depending on who the Republicans run. Warnock is probably 6/5, 7/5 against retaining his seat, but if Herschel is the opponent, dunno. On the other hand Mark Kelly probably is about those same odds to hold. In any event even a 3 seat shift to the GOP would hardly be “an historic level.”

(In response to this post by nyhoo)

Posted: 03/25/2022 at 09:20AM


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