This will come down to who is more unelectable, not who’s more electable
If it’s Trump vs Biden. The definitive answer doesn’t reside in current polls, which have been extremely poor predictors of many elections since ‘16.
If it’s a Trump/Biden contest, Trump’s odds are at best 60/40 - that’s being generous imo, placing a lot of stock in polls a year ahead of time. Which is not insurmountable. Anyway, I think it’s much closer to 50/50, and could well turn on events that haven’t happened yet and are impossible to predict.
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In response to this post by nyhoo)
Posted: 01/02/2024 at 12:16PM