The Soapbox

Joey Wahoo

Joined: 10/18/1998 Posts: 698
Likes: 842


Start with the exit polls


Here is a detailed breakdown comparing 2017 and 2021: https://www.cnn.com/2021/11/04/politics/exit-polls-2017-vs-2021/index.html ("Virginia Governor-elect Glenn Youngkin notably improved the GOP’s standing with younger voters, moderates, independents and White women since the last gubernatorial election in 2017.")

See also the linked article ("Take a look at this chart from Seth Masket, a political scientist at the University of Denver. It plots McAuliffe’s 2021 performance in different parts of the state against incumbent Gov. Ralph Northam’s 2017 victory, and finds a uniform shift — with nearly every part of Virginia moving in the GOP’s direction to a roughly similar degree. Youngkin didn’t win because he ran up the score in areas where voters heard a lot about CRT; he won by doing better everywhere, with a statewide message that was a lot less immersed in culture war themes than you’d expect. Many of the people who said CRT was important were likely going to vote for Youngkin no matter what and latched on to CRT as an explanation...The narrative that CRT was decisive in the Virginia election is not especially consistent with the evidence available right now.")

There is also the fact that Winsome Sears (a black woman) and Jason Miyares (an Hispanic man) won as well, which is evidence against the idea that the GOP win was attributable to racism.


[Post edited by Joey Wahoo at 09/30/2023 10:41AM]

(In response to this post by SixerHoo)

Link: Vox


Posted: 09/29/2023 at 12:46PM



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Current Thread:
 
  
Thank you, DJT Jr. -- DanTheFan 09/29/2023 10:34AM
  I'd take Younkin over Trump in a heartbeat ** -- HoodatB 09/29/2023 10:52AM
  I'd take a well-trained dog over Trump ** -- Capital City Hoo 09/29/2023 1:36PM
  That’s about as low a bar as there is ** -- 111Balz 09/29/2023 12:49PM
  I expect that if he wins in 2024 -- NJHoo 09/29/2023 11:33AM
  People are saying he should get 8 more years -- HoodatB 09/29/2023 12:03PM
  Yep. He has planted the seeds of that already. ** -- VAGentleman05 09/29/2023 1:16PM
  Relatively easy. Run as VP, then new POTUS resigns. -- DanTheFan 09/29/2023 4:24PM
  The GOP has been working on that ** -- Hoo TV 09/29/2023 11:06AM
  … an actual turnip v TFG in a heartbeat ** -- WaxHoo 09/29/2023 10:55AM
  There is literally no talk of this. ** -- ryno hoo 09/29/2023 11:25AM
  Link… -- SixerHoo 09/29/2023 11:28AM
  He is a 🧌 ** -- HoodatB 09/29/2023 12:30PM
  Clearly. ** -- SixerHoo 09/29/2023 12:34PM
  No WHITE duck boots with the vest ** -- Zhoo 09/29/2023 11:17AM
  Only fake Santas wear white boots. ** -- SixerHoo 09/29/2023 11:31AM
  Santa wears black boots (like the military) :) -- Zhoo 09/29/2023 11:28AM
  The country needs candidates like Youngkin now -- Joey Wahoo 09/29/2023 11:01AM
  I think we need someone a lot better than him. ** -- 111Balz 09/29/2023 12:44PM
  How often do incumbents get challenged? ** -- 111Balz 09/29/2023 1:58PM
  Fair points. ** -- 111Balz 09/29/2023 3:25PM
  Standard (re: extreme) Dems hate Youngkin. -- ryno hoo 09/29/2023 11:22AM
  I think MacAuliffe did a good job as governor. -- Joey Wahoo 09/29/2023 11:22AM
  And VA white suburban mom's bought it ** -- Hoo TV 09/29/2023 12:58PM
  LOL ** -- TomGlansAski 09/29/2023 12:25PM
  What data? ** -- SixerHoo 09/29/2023 12:21PM
  Start with the exit polls -- Joey Wahoo 09/29/2023 12:46PM
  Did you look at the exit poll article? -- Joey Wahoo 09/29/2023 1:17PM
  Promises made, promises kept ** -- Hoo TV 09/29/2023 12:43PM
  That really is mindnumbingly stupid of him. -- hoolstoptheheels 09/29/2023 10:44AM

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