The Soapbox

Joined: 01/04/2001 Posts: 27159
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I would rather you be right about China, all things considered.

I would sum up my skepticism as follows: China wants to have a free market economy - at least up to a point - they want to interfere with that in very extreme ways that would be unimaginable to us as they deem necessary - but maintain complete authoritarian rule everywhere else. But societies don't work that way. All aspects are interrelated, and there is a reason why China by and large fails to innovate. Almost at all. They rely on espionage. Obviously this is not a failing of Chinese people. Without freedom, there is no innovation.

I think China at best has a ceiling on how much it can advance, and at worst will collapse violently, unless a true statesman arises to release the grip of one party authoritarian rule.

For all our political dysfunction, we are not in the same league with China's autocracy.
[Post edited by hoolstoptheheels at 04/27/2016 2:37PM]

(In response to this post by fishhoo)

Posted: 04/27/2016 at 1:36PM

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Mirage of a Return to Manufacturing Greatness -- hoolstoptheheels 04/27/2016 09:14AM

See Alvin Toffler, The Third Wave (1980) and Future Shock (1970). ** -- Seattle .Hoo 04/27/2016 11:01AM

Good calls - Future Shock, written mostly in the 60s I think, could apply -- hoolstoptheheels 04/27/2016 1:14PM

First rule of forecasting: all forecasts are wrong. ** -- WaxHoo 04/27/2016 4:18PM

Good article, good post -- fishhoo 04/27/2016 10:37AM

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It's cheap labor & automation. All else is at the margins.** -- WaxHoo 04/27/2016 10:53AM

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Why are you asking me ...? ** -- WaxHoo 04/27/2016 7:26PM

** -- WaxHoo 04/27/2016 10:52AM

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Did you even read that post? ** -- 111Balz 04/27/2016 8:22PM

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Couple of replies: -- hoolstoptheheels 04/27/2016 11:27AM

I certainly agree with -- fishhoo 04/27/2016 12:07PM

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I would rather you be right about China, all things considered. -- hoolstoptheheels 04/27/2016 1:36PM

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