The Soapbox

fishhoo

Joined: 02/27/2004 Posts: 1367
Likes: 2909


Yes but I am one who thinks


that trade deficits mean almost nothing when looking at other contexts. We have run big trade deficits at various times and sometimes with great economic booms happening at home (including with manufacturing), other times not. Trade lanes and a deficit/surplus with any particular country tends to reveal different and unique stories over some period of time. I'm not saying overall meaningless, but the key is why, what are the sector drivers, what else is going on, etc... It is just a important analysis when ones sees the export growth we are experiencing in different areas and with different countries in particular. I am not saying it is a simple stat either -- maybe our growth with sales back to China pales to what it theoretically could be (including compared to other countries) and maybe it is driven by other things that aren't sustaining. However, it is undeniable that the purchasing power of China has grown as predicted over time and they are buying (and want to buy) from other countries. It is also undeniable that some of this is fueled by the rising tide of economic growth across consumers in China. I would think it would be hard to deny by anybody being remotely objective about trade that all of this ultimately has and will continue to have positive pressures on other issues within China. Again, plenty of ongoing challenges -- is it sustainable, will they continue to embrace enough change, is there too big a wealth gap forming, etc... All fair questions, but my goodness -- as bad as some of the issues remain inside of China today, how bleak were things several generations ago but within our lifetime? Global trade has been the driving force.

(In response to this post by Hoos Operator)

Posted: 04/27/2016 at 11:33AM



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Current Thread:
 
  
Mirage of a Return to Manufacturing Greatness -- hoolstoptheheels 04/27/2016 09:14AM
  Good article, good post -- fishhoo 04/27/2016 10:37AM
  So how does 15$ min wage help with that ** -- TomKazanski 04/27/2016 5:11PM
  Why are you asking me ...? ** -- WaxHoo 04/27/2016 7:26PM
  ** -- WaxHoo 04/27/2016 10:52AM
  The tide is inexorable. -- hoolstoptheheels 04/27/2016 10:07AM
  Couple of comments -- fishhoo 04/27/2016 10:56AM
  Couple of replies: -- hoolstoptheheels 04/27/2016 11:27AM
  I certainly agree with -- fishhoo 04/27/2016 12:07PM
  IMO you've devoted way too much effort to that last paragraph. -- hoolstoptheheels 04/27/2016 12:55PM
  I guess I would just say -- fishhoo 04/27/2016 1:24PM
  I would rather you be right about China, all things considered. -- hoolstoptheheels 04/27/2016 1:36PM
  Yes but I am one who thinks -- fishhoo 04/27/2016 11:33AM
  That's a good line about the Verizon workers ** -- KCHoo 04/27/2016 09:19AM

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