Except, of course, your calculations don't include how CA (link)
Independents or minor party affiliates vote.
From "California Voter and Party Profiles" at:
https://www.ppic.org/publication/california-voter-and-party-profiles/
Democrats make up nearly half of registered voters; independent registration has declined in recent years.
"The share of voters who say they are independent (also known as “decline to state” or “no party preference”) is 22.5% and has declined since 2019 (28.3%). Meanwhile, the shares registering with a minor political party have increased from 5.1% in 2019 to 6.8% today."
In 2019, Independents were actually the 2nd largest political cohort in California at 23.8% vs. Republicans at 23.6%. Since 2019, Independents have declined, but it's not because they're becoming Republicans.
"The share of registered voters who are Democrats (46.9%) has increased from 2019 (43.1%), the year leading up to the last presidential election, while the share of Republicans (23.8%) has stayed steady (23.6% in 2019)."
"Twenty years ago, during the lead up to the 2004 presidential election, Republicans made up a much higher share of the electorate (35.2% in February 2003) than today, while independents (15.3%) made up a lower share. The Democratic share (44.4%) in 2003 was slightly lower than it is today."
Your party is dying in California. Your party is being replaced. There's a reason for that, and it's not gerrymandering.
From "Figure 5. Unregistered Californians lean Democratic in most places around the state" (as pictured below), the vast majority of Independents also lean Democrat.
You only get to bitch about gerrymandering when a cohort is substantially under-represented.
CA Republicans are not under-represented in CA's Congressional House delegation.
California Republicans (24%) garnered 12 of 52 (23%) of the California Congressional House delegation.
[Post edited by Hoo TV at 12/30/2023 08:43AM]
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In response to this post by TomKazanski)
Link: California’s Political Geography 2020
Posted: 12/30/2023 at 08:26AM