quite a bit more predictive, especially within 2 weeks of the primary or caucus.

Clearly the Jeb pullout didn't seem to benefit Rubio in NV very much. I'm interested in how it will affect the Super Tuesday states. If Trump keeps hitting 40 % next week I'll have to admit I was way wrong about Rubio's potential. Kasich staying in through Ohio on March 15 also wasn't something I counted on, but I can't blame that on Rubio's performance in NV; Kasich only had 4%.

That Trump took 47% of the Latino vote, killing two Latinos (though Cuban Latinos vs Mexican, who are the overwhelming majority of NV Latinos) was a shocker to me. But there aren't a lot of Republican Latinos in NV so that's a small sample.

Turnout was yoooge, a recurring theme that has to at some point start worrying Democrats.