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hoodeyo

Joined: 09/29/2013 Posts: 6430
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He generally outperformed polls in 2020


but it was most apparent in states he was favored, by a significant amount in OH, IA, TX, FL. Outperformed in WI by 6% but still lost. Underperformed MN and GA. Other key states were accurate enough- AZ, PA, NV, MI to Biden, NC to Trump.

NV (+7.7), AZ (+5.5), GA (+6.5), MI (+3.6) are ones Trump lost in 2020 that are trending toward him at the moment. If he won those he would win the election.

[Post edited by hoodeyo at 03/03/2024 12:08PM]

(In response to this post by JMHoo)

Link: https://www.npr.org/2020/11/19/936317341/why-were-the-polls-off-pollsters-have-some-early-theories


Posted: 03/03/2024 at 11:52AM


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