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southdenverhoo

Joined: 10/11/2001 Posts: 13283
Likes: 17875


I think he'll be convicted, fined (no jail time) and still nominated in


2024. It's not nothing, the New York case, and it would suffice to end many a presidential campaign, but it won't end or even harm Trump's primary campaign because he is sui generis as a Republican politician.

But it won't help him with what passes as an "independent" voter these days.

My guess is he gets the nomination and loses to Biden by roughly the same electoral margin as last time. Might pick up a couple states, even. I certainly wouldn't bet on Democrats holding GA for example, at least at this point in time. Wisconsin is also a very close one in statewide elections, and it might be instructive how their Supreme Court election goes this spring. On the other hand I think Arizona is trending bluer as time goes by and Michigan and Pennsylvania are a lost cause for Republicans in statewide elections, in the short run. Biden will need --and only 1--from Georgia, Wisconsin, and North Carolina.

(In response to this post by hoolstoptheheels)

Posted: 03/19/2023 at 3:19PM



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Current Thread:
 
  
Trump may find this handy for his arrest... -- TomGlansAski 03/19/2023 09:43AM
  How to repond to all these memes. -- HowieT3 03/19/2023 10:22AM
  Cringe. ** -- psychobilly 03/19/2023 09:47AM
  A crime is a crime -- WahooMatt05 03/19/2023 11:19AM
  How did you feel when Clinton was not prosecuted for perjury? -- hoolstoptheheels 03/19/2023 12:16PM
  It is not clear that Clinton committed perjury. -- DanTheFan 03/19/2023 5:28PM
  No, that isn't indisputable. ** -- DanTheFan 03/19/2023 5:29PM
  You're wrong. -- DanTheFan 03/19/2023 7:06PM
  The 2001 deal with Ray. -- DanTheFan 03/19/2023 8:32PM
  Toldja. ** -- WaxHoo 03/19/2023 1:02PM
  I’m saying that right now no one on this board or anyone… -- Los Angeles Hoo 03/19/2023 12:57PM
  Is that so? -- SixerHoo 03/19/2023 1:51PM
  Well said ** -- 111Balz 03/19/2023 2:52PM
  Another sane take. ** -- Los Angeles Hoo 03/19/2023 12:32PM
  I’ve done that several times. There’s a… -- Los Angeles Hoo 03/19/2023 3:21PM
  You have it pick one, Blah… -- Los Angeles Hoo 03/19/2023 6:27PM
  So, alternative universe, then? ** -- Los Angeles Hoo 03/19/2023 7:10PM
  Yes, Fox News. ** -- Blah 03/20/2023 12:54PM
  He just knows stuff. It’s evergreen** -- WaxHoo 03/19/2023 2:24PM
  Psycho, meet Glans. ** -- ResistHoo 03/19/2023 10:13AM
  ^^^^ Psycho, moar Glans ^^^^ ** -- ResistHoo 03/19/2023 2:53PM
  100% projection, as always! ** -- TomGlansAski 03/19/2023 2:56PM

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