The Soapbox

CMUHoo

Joined: 09/19/2008 Posts: 3846
Likes: 6800


It's not peer-reviewed and Lott's work got taken apart on further analysis


SSRN is not peer-reviewed. It's a pre-print server. The pre-print was taken apart by Washington Post fact checkers here: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/12/04/trumps-assertion-that-only-two-european-nations-allow-mail-in-voting/

Lott's other work on fraud was also analyzed at the link below, where they state:
"In a recent paper, John Lott Jr. claims to find evidence of anti-Trump fraud in the absentee counting procedure in Fulton County, Georgia, and Allegheny County, Pennsylvania. Using Lott's own data, we show that his claims are utterly baseless. Lott uses an unusual estimation strategy that suffers from a subtle but fundamental flaw: his conclusions about fraud in Fulton and Allegheny counties are entirely dependent on the completely arbitrary order in which pairs of precincts in other counties are entered in the dataset. When we rerun Lott's analysis using an alternative but equally justifiable coding rule, the evidence for anti-Trump fraud in these two counties entirely disappears. When we replace Lott's unusual specification with a more standard estimation strategy, we find absolutely no evidence of fraud. In short, Lott's (2020) analysis provides no evidence of anything distinctive or suspicious about the absentee ballot results in either Fulton County or Allegheny County."

(In response to this post by ResistHoo)

Link: Hoover Institute


Posted: 03/17/2022 at 10:35AM



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Current Thread:
  This is how democracies die. Hope we can -- HoosWillWin 03/16/2022 10:16PM
  Which of these reasons are fraudulent? -- CMUHoo 03/16/2022 10:55PM
  Apples and oranges -- CMUHoo 03/17/2022 09:20AM
  Link? -- WaxHoo 03/16/2022 9:49PM
  I'm sure you think that's funny. ** -- Seattle .Hoo 03/16/2022 9:27PM
  GFY Tommy. That is all. ** -- TomGlansAski 03/16/2022 9:42PM
  Post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy! ** -- Hooooooooooooooo 03/16/2022 9:02PM
  Latin for HISAFT? ** -- WaxHoo 03/16/2022 9:24PM
  Link? ** -- WaxHoo 03/16/2022 8:58PM
  They are questionable for any number of reasons -- TomKazanski 03/16/2022 8:25PM
  Signature matching can be a hugh problem. ** -- Hooooooooooooooo 03/16/2022 8:53PM
  More likely due to poor handwriting. ** -- Hooooooooooooooo 03/16/2022 9:19PM
  Link? ** -- WaxHoo 03/16/2022 8:27PM
  The incompetence is intentional. ** -- Seattle .Hoo 03/16/2022 6:42PM
  It’s everwhite ** -- WahooRQ 03/16/2022 7:39PM
  Let's go LAHoo!!! ** -- TomGlansAski 03/16/2022 10:23PM
  I will when your Tub of Lard God will. ** -- Shenhoo 03/16/2022 8:21PM

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