No, I don’t - I think it’s unknowable, so I don’t underestimate it.
Ironically, right after I posted I read about “document 79” in the wsj, which is a Chinese initiative called “delete America” - an effort to replace American hardware and software with Chinese products in China’s domestic economy. So, really, both countries are on this glide path. But I think both sides are only beginning to encounter all the complexities and unintended consequences of this effort.
One thing’s for sure - conditions for direct major power conflicts in the world are continuing to develop. Trump 2.0 is only going to make it more chaotic, with growing distrust among our allies at the same time as this threat grows. Another reason to make sure it never happens (fingers crossed).
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In response to this post by CMUHoo)
Posted: 03/08/2024 at 09:29AM