The Soapbox

hoolstoptheheels

Joined: 01/04/2001 Posts: 27087
Likes: 34387


Honestly, I’m not even ready to speculate about that.


I guarantee (which I really can’t, since I’m not there), that the US is working to prevent Israel from doing anything rash here. I suspect that’s why Blinkin expressly declines to confirm reporting of Iran’s involvement. With everything going on in the world, I don’t think we want to see too much Sabre rattling over Iran. A shooting war in Iran really starts to look more and more like world war with Russia, China, Iran, NK on one side and the US led western alliance on the other.

So, right now, I think efforts are to keep reprisals local. We’ve already seen some shooting at the Lebanese-Israeli border, and I’m sure we’ll see spill over in the West Bank, but I don’t see immediate leaps to reprisals against Iran.

Israel may ultimately feel it needs to respond to Iran directly. Fortunately for us, Israel is likely to be able to fight that battle for itself. I guess depending on what they intend to do. But I think we’ll be working very hard to avoid Americans fighting directly in Iran. Once that starts I think all bets are off.

My bet - very soon brutal imagery is going to emerge from Gaza. Israel will come under pressure from that. The Biden admin will feel it too. And I think that will help temper military responses against Iran. But we are in a fog of war moment, so who really knows how it will all go? Scary moment.

(In response to this post by CharlestonSC)

Posted: 10/09/2023 at 10:26AM



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Current Thread:
  No. We won't need to anyway. ** -- Seattle .Hoo 10/09/2023 2:51PM
  I would say no unless... -- HoosWillWin 10/09/2023 1:30PM
  Unlike Ukraine, does Israel really need help? -- HoodatB 10/09/2023 11:46AM
  Iran has shown to be pretty pragmatic wrt Israel. -- GoochlandHoo 10/09/2023 11:03AM
  No US personnel. All other support, yes. ** -- BocaHoo91 10/09/2023 10:50AM
  Same. ** -- hooshouse 10/09/2023 11:10AM
  No. ** -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/09/2023 10:44AM
  Do you have any idea as to how protected -- Shenhoo 10/09/2023 10:33AM
  Plausible. ** -- Shenhoo 10/09/2023 11:21AM
  Do you mean in Iran itself? -- 06 Hoo 10/09/2023 10:26AM
  Honestly, I’m not even ready to speculate about that. -- hoolstoptheheels 10/09/2023 10:26AM
  What do you mean "if"? ** -- HAZER 10/09/2023 10:24AM
  Depends on whether they've got any dirt on Joey. ** -- ResistHoo 10/09/2023 10:24AM
  A-rabs? -- BocaHoo91 10/09/2023 10:52AM
  Iranians aren’t Arabs. ** -- SixerHoo 10/09/2023 10:29AM
  But are they A-rabs? 😬 -- WahooRQ 10/09/2023 10:38AM

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