The Soapbox

CMUHoo

Joined: 09/19/2008 Posts: 3846
Likes: 6800


Point being, I think your approach just makes Trump the nominee


There's an expectation of "don't spoil it for whoever wins" that is common--and broadly good--in primaries. That's why Biden didn't get attacked, because he wasn't going to be a disaster, he wasn't under indictment, and he hadn't lied to his voters to get them to storm the Capitol to keep him in office.

My point is that as long as Trump's voters think what he did is ok, they'll keep voting for him. You have to convince them that what he did wasn't ok--something you still never say on here BTW. Maybe DeSantis is really ok with coming in second and really hopes that Trump can win a second term if he is the nominee, but the route he's currently taking leaves him stranded in Tallahassee until 2026 after a humiliating primary defeat he may never recover from. He's not going to win 5 out of 6 available voters in a head-to-head with Trump without inflicting serious damage on Trump's acceptability to GOP voters.

I don't buy for a second that Trump is going to base a 3rd party run on whether he gets attacked in the primary or not. It will strictly be about saving himself, which means he'll run unless he extracts a public promise for a pardon from the GOP nominee.

It really is worth your time to watch that Hurd video as well. He makes a bunch of good points.

(In response to this post by Hoodafan)

Posted: 08/21/2023 at 4:45PM



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Current Thread:
 
  
Chris Sununu making sense -- Capital City Hoo 08/21/2023 12:30PM
  Ideal field is Trump, Christie and the real candidate -- CharlestonSC 08/21/2023 1:35PM
  Agree...but not likely ** -- Tuckahokie 08/21/2023 6:12PM
  Don’t see any way around it. -- Chuck Taylor 08/21/2023 2:07PM
  MIT Engineer…logic will be a strong suit ** -- Tuckahokie 08/21/2023 12:58PM
  Hard to see a path for any Rep winning… -- Los Angeles Hoo 08/21/2023 12:59PM
  No ** -- WaxHoo 08/21/2023 2:22PM

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