The Soapbox

Joined: 12/08/2010 Posts: 287
Likes: 272

What's this?

I predict a run-off. I’m not sure who that favors (might depend if Senate

control is still on the line).

African American vote % started really high the first day of early voting but it has been dropping since then. It was 38.5% of the day 1 vote but is now down to 30% of the total early vote. If that ends up under 28% then I think the Dems are in trouble. I think the 2021 runoffs had 31.5% AA vote.

Also the current early voters have skewed older by a lot. If young voters don’t turnout that’s more bad news for Dems.

The one state that looks like a bloodbath for the Dems is Florida. GOP registered voters have already outvoted Dem registered voters. I think Dems had like a 10% lead at this point in 2020.

[Post edited by Wahoos6 at 10/28/2022 12:40PM]

(In response to this post by Hoos Operator)

Posted: 10/28/2022 at 12:30PM

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