The Soapbox

JohnHoo2

Joined: 09/29/2013 Posts: 6404
Likes: 6394


While individually, Trump probably has the best probability of winning 24,


IMO, the implied 27% chance of him winning is too high. Note that Biden (17%) and Harris (9%) is at 26% and it is almost impossible they going to run against each other, so the odds makers are putting the chance of top GOP and top Dem winning the WH as roughly equal. Although I think both are too high.

Surprised Trump Jr and Ivanka are not on the list. I think they are more likely than the bottom 4 on the list.

(In response to this post by Hoos Operator)

Posted: 02/05/2022 at 8:09PM



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