Perfect storm. A good friend of mine models elections and showed a Trump
Victory within the margin of error, but because the prevailing wisdom and mood seemed Hillary would win handily he did not trust what his own numbers were saying.
538 also showed things tightening but I think the Comey announcement + low enthusiasm for Hillary (perhaps compounded by most thinking she was a lock) kept people home in a few key states that normally are reliably blue turned the tide at the last moment.
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In response to this post by 133175Hokie)
Posted: 07/26/2018 at 2:46PM